9 Jul · 01:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1413
FormLWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Skorski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1325
FormWLLWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 41% · 2.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H8-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)