9 Jul · 02:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1366
FormLWLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1464
FormWWWWL
39%
61%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~80 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H10-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-8)