9 Jul · 02:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1354
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skorski
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1407
FormLLWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 43% · 2.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H48-55
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)