9 Jul · 02:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1587
FormWLWWW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Koczyba
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1389
FormLWLLW
71%
29%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+198
H2H9-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+198)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-1)