9 Jul · 04:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1470
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1538
FormWWLLL
43%
57%
🌟Lebek covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H21-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-13)