9 Jul · 04:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1476
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Delikatny
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1496
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Delikatny
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H18-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.