9 Jul · 04:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1360
FormLLWLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1582
FormWLWLW
27%
73%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~78 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+222
H2H26-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+222)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-6)