9 Jul · 04:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1516
FormLLLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Oracz
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1394
FormLWLWL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)