9 Jul · 06:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1513
FormWWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Adamus
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1356
FormLLLWL
67%
33%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)