9 Jul · 06:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1463
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1521
FormWLLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H16-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)