9 Jul · 05:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1356
FormLLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Burkacki
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1389
FormLLWLW
46%
54%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Burkacki
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H13-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.