9 Jul · 05:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1642
FormLWWLW
83%Win chancemodel fair 1.20Tkaczyk
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1290
FormWLLWL
83%
17%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 83% · 1.20vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 70%Total ~69 pts
3-0
41%
3-1
29%
3-2
13%
2-3
8%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+352
H2H25-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+352)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-7)