9 Jul · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1444
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Dabrowski
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1471
FormLLWLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+27
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.