9 Jul · 07:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1363
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1414
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H18-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)