9 Jul · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1488
FormWWLWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1644
FormWLWWL
33%
67%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 67% (15)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~73 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+156
H2H41-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+156)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-10)