9 Jul · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1337
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sulkowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1387
FormLWLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 62% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H10-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-9)