9 Jul · 07:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1373
FormWWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1547
FormLWWWW
32%
68%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+174
H2H47-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+174)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-18)