9 Jul · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1514
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kolek
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1467
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 78% (23)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)