9 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1363
FormLLWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1540
FormWWWWL
31%
69%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~79 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+177
H2H12-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-10)