9 Jul · 09:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1372
FormLLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1552
FormWLWWW
31%
69%
🌟Lebek covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+180
H2H18-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-10)