9 Jul · 14:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1480
FormLWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Pelka
WG
🇵🇱Waldemar Glanowski
ELO 1356
FormLLWLL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+124
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+124)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)