9 Jul · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1325
FormWLLWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Skotniczny
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1565
FormWWWWW
26%
74%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 38% (16)
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+240
H2H11-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+240)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-10)