9 Jul · 16:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1483
FormWLWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Pelka
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1325
FormWLLWL
67%
33%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 38% (16)
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+158
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)