10 Jul · 00:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1730
FormWWLWW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Oracz
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1442
FormLLLLL
78%
22%
🌟Kwiatkowski goes over total as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~73 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+288
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+288)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)