10 Jul · 00:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JD
🇵🇱Jerzy Debski
ELO 1429
FormWLWWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1565
FormLWWLW
35%
65%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 67% (24)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+136
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)