9 Jul · 21:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1565
FormLWWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Nocun
JD
🇵🇱Jerzy Debski
ELO 1429
FormWLWWL
65%
35%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 67% (24)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+136
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)