09 Jul · 15:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1476
3-1Final setsPelka won
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1518
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Ptak at 55%. The actual result was Jerzy Pelka 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Wiktor Ptak favoured — closing 1.46
Total 76.5
73 points played
Set handicap
Wiktor Ptak −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Wiktor Ptak −5.5 points
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.42
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Pelka is favoured to win, below means Wiktor Ptak.
▲ Jerzy Pelkapre 41% → final 94%
Wiktor Ptak ▼
Biggest swing 53 ptsPelka recovered from 41%67 points · 3 games