9 Jul · 19:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1565
FormLWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Nocun
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1442
FormLLLLL
63%
37%
🌟Kwiatkowski goes over total as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)