9 Jul · 19:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1365
FormWLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Fabis
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1417
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~80 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H10-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)