9 Jul · 19:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1473
FormWLLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1640
FormWWWLW
32%
68%
🌟Hetnar goes over total as favourite 79% (19)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 57% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+167
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)