9 Jul · 19:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1476
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Skotniczny
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1566
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H28-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-16)