9 Jul · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1496
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pytlas
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1563
FormLLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H18-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-11)