9 Jul · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1327
FormLWLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Brozek
PB
🇵🇱Piotr Brozek
ELO 1506
FormLWWWW
31%
69%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 38% (16)
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+179
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)