Marcin Kowalczyk vs Jaroslaw Rolak — TT Elite Series

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09 Jul · 18:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1350

3-2Final setsKowalczyk won

🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak

ELO 1366

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 53%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 3-2 — the underdog won.

Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Jaroslaw Rolak — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Jaroslaw Rolak favoured — closing 1.47

Upset

Total 79.5

94 points played

Over

Set handicap

Jaroslaw Rolak −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Jaroslaw Rolak −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.45

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 50% → final 76%

Jaroslaw Rolak ▼

Biggest swing 70 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games