9 Jul · 21:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1784
FormLWWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Molenda
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1649
FormWWWLW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)