9 Jul · 22:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1575
FormLLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1610
FormLLLWW
46%
54%
🌟Hetnar goes over total as favourite 79% (19)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H39-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.