10 Jul · 00:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1601
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1648
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
🌟Tkocz stays under total as favourite 67% (21)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H15-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-10)