10 Jul · 00:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1410
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Fabis
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1365
FormWWWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H26-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)