10 Jul · 02:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1456
FormLWWLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Machelski
AB
🇵🇱Aleksander Barton
ELO 1173
FormLLLLL
78%
22%
🌟Barton stays under total as underdog 72% (36)
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~72 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+283
H2H12-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+283)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-2)