10 Jul · 02:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1343
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Fabis
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1416
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)