10 Jul · 07:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1551
FormLWLWL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Lebek
MC
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1285
FormLWLLL
76%
24%
🌟Cesarz goes over total as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 81% · 1.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~74 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+266
H2H22-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+266)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-2)