10 Jul · 06:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kotyl
ELO 1369
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sulkowski
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1406
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+37
H2H21-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.