10 Jul · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1391
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rudomina
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1372
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.