10 Jul · 06:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1365
FormLWLLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1647
FormWLWWL
22%
78%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 85% · 1.18· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+282
H2H29-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+282)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-2)