10 Jul · 08:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1661
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Szostok
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1576
FormWWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H24-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-12)