10 Jul · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1362
FormLLWLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Lebek
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1554
FormWLWLW
30%
70%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 77% · 1.29· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+192
H2H48-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+192)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-18)