10 Jul · 08:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1407
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rudomina
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1384
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.