10 Jul · 10:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1570
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lebek
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1526
FormLWWLW
55%
45%
🌟Lebek covers set handicap as favourite 65% (17)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H10-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)