10 Jul · 10:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1440
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dabrowski
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1458
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Dabrowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.