10 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1643
FormLWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Tkocz
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1598
FormLLWWW
55%
45%
🌟Tkocz stays under total as favourite 64% (22)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H15-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-11)